Amazon Ratio Spread Targets A Profit Zone Between 210 and 230
A put ratio spread is an advanced option trade and generally not suitable for beginners, but it can have its place within an option portfolio.
It is generally considered a neutral strategy, although it has the ability to make a profit in up, down and sideways markets.
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Yes, it can make money no matter which way the market goes, the key is the timing!
The strategy involves buying a number of put options and selling more put options further out-of-the-money.
The trade is placed when the trader thinks the underlying stock will be stable or slowly move lower and finish around the short put strike at expiry.
A fall in implied volatility will benefit the trade and it can also be profitable if the stock moves up early in the trade.
The big risk with the trade is a sharp move lower early in the trade.
Let's look at an example using Amazon (AMZN).
Amazon Ratio Spread Example
Buying the August 21 put with a strike price of $230 for around $7.45 and selling 2 of the August 21, 220-strike puts for around $4.70 would create a put ratio spread.
As we are selling 2 contracts at $4.70 the trade results in a net credit of $1.95 which is $195 premium.
This is the maximum gain above a stock price of $230. Basically, all the puts would expire worthless and the trader keeps the $195 premium.
A tent-shaped profit zone exists between $210 and $230 with the maximum gain occurring at $220 and is around $1,200.
This is what the trade looks like as of today:
You can see the main risk in the trade is a drop in price early on. The blue line is the profit and loss at expiration and the purple line is the T+0 line. T+0 just means "today".
So, we don't want the stock to get into the profit tent too early.
What about in one month's time? How does the trade look then?
Looking a lot better for any price above $220.
One advantage of this trade type is it takes advantage of option skew. Notice the contract we are buying has lower volatility (41.36%) than the contract we are selling (42.25%). Buy low, sell high.
Not that the trade starts with a delta of 12, which means the initial position is roughly equivalent to being long 12 shares of AMZN stock, although this will change as the trade progresses.
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